Thursday, November 01, 2012

DUmmies Hug Their Nate Silver Security Blanket

Nate Silver is just $10 away from predicting that Obama has an 82.7% chance of winning!

Perhaps the most laughable aspect of this election season is the way the DUmmies have embraced the PRECISE prognostications of one Nate Silver. Silver's shtick isn't to merely announce poll results that are artificially weighted in favor of Democrats. Any run of the mill leftwing pollster, such as PPP, can do that. Silver takes it to the next level in which he dramatically announced to the exact decimal point the chances that Obama has of winning. As of Halloween, Silver has declared that Obama has exactly a 77.4% chance of winning. Not 77.3% or 77.5% chance but precisely 77.4%. Such precision must be completely scientific...or so the DUmmies believe which is why they continue to cling to their Nate Silver security blanket so fervently to block out any contrary polling data such as from Gallup or Rasmussen (which they embraced until they didn't like his results). If you check out DUmmieland you will see thread after thread in which the DUmmies continue to cite Nate Silver's precise prognostications as if it were Holy Writ. However, let us take a look at this recent Nate Silver Security Blanket THREAD, "Nate Silver has Obama up." A psychological benefit for the DUmmies is that even if Obama loses they can cry vote fraud because Nate Silver declared he had a 77.4% chance of winning. So let us now watch the DUmmies cling to their Nate Silver security blanket in Bolshevik Red while the commentary of your humble correspondent, wondering if Bob Menendez requesting FEMA(le) aid, has changed that calculation to 77.3%, is in the [barackets]:

Nate Silver has Obama up 

[And Dominican chicks also had Bob Menendez up.]

299 EV
77.4% Chance of winning 

[There is a 77.4% chance of DUmmies already popping open their Freudenschade victory champagne bottles. And now on to the other DUmmies clinging fervently to their Nate Silver security blankets...]

Wow. Getting almost back to September levels! 

[When the Bamster had a 77.5% chance of a Freudenschade victory.]

Great! Now I can relax. 

[Yup! No need to even bother to vote because Obama has banked it...according to Nate Silver.]

Need constant assurance because it is difficult to hear all the spin throughout the day and wonder if Romney will win with all his lies. 

[No need to worry, my little DUmmie. According to Nate Silver, you have only a 22.6% chance of melting down into an angry psychopathic vegetable.]

You never let your opponent see one sliver of daylight. 

[That's what I call seeing the Silver lining.]

Good stuff. Sure hope it comes to be true. 

[Bev Harrris is just $10 away from guaranteeing it.]

Just watched him tell Charlie Rose tonight that Obama is the winner based on his data. 

[Keep telling the Democrats that victory is in the bag because that will be sure to lower the lazy RAT vote. Hey, I waited a long time to early vote yesterday but if I were a Democrat who listened to Nate Silver, I would have probably skipped the ordeal because he has declared it to be in the bag. Therefore I predict that there is a 77.4% chance that Nate Silver's prognostications will LOWER the Democrat turnout.]

Man I wish this thing was over. 

[You are only 5 days away from no longer worshiping Nate Silver's zipper.]

Wisconsin, Ohio, New Hampshire, Nevada, Likely Obama! Colorado, Iowa, Virginia, Lean Obama! And Florida back to toss-up! 

[And I predict there that there is a 77.4% chance that in five days the DUmmies will be back to throw-up!]

The Quinnipiac poll should push him to 80% then!

[Actually 79.9% according to the infallible Nate Silver.]

Obama will probably drop to the mid-70s soon, thanks to a conveniently timed Rasmussen or Gravis poll. 

[77.3% to be precise.]

Nate put the SurveyUSA (+3) OHIO poll for Obama into the model, but the new Quinnipiac poll to come out this morning is not in Nate's model yet. Obama is already at 78% in OHIO tonight, so maybe he will hit 80% in Nate's model tomorrow when he includes the new Quinnipiac poll. 

[80.3% when you factor in the 7-11 coffee cup poll.]

Obama will break 80% tomorrow due to the Quinnipiac poll, I bet Things are looking better and better! 

[There is a 77.4% chance that Obama will break 80% tomorrow. The mighty infallible Oz has spoken! Now lean back, DUmmies. Close your eyes and click your heels together three times and repeat after me..."There is a 77.4% chance that Obama will be re-elected."]


Anonymous Liptonius said...


I mean, I like a nice spoof once in a while, but THIS is just ridiculous to a degree unseen even in the most fevered, sweaty, midnight dreams of Debbie Wassername-Schmutz!

Still, if it tingles a leg, it must be so!

Chris? Chris Mattews? Whaddaya feelin'looneyboy?

3:43 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Who is Nate Silver?
(Yes, I truly don't know who he is, no, I don't care if you care)

6:49 PM  
Blogger Ogrrre said...

"Great! Now I can relax."
That's right, DUmbass. Obama has this one in the bag, so you don't have to stir yourself to go vote next week. But, if you do decide to go vote, remember: Republicans, Libertarians and Independents vote on Tuesday, November 6, and Democrats, Greens, and Communists all vote on Wednesday, November 7.

7:04 PM  
Anonymous The ULTIMATE Man said...

I want to see Nate Silver's excuses when The One gets waxed by a landslide.

7:26 PM  
Anonymous Skully said...

This Nate dude has got to have some angle. Like he's got a ton of cash bet on In-trade or something like that. His "analysis" drives the price of Obama down on the exchange; all the while he's betting Romney getting odds. He makes a killing on Election Day. Otherwise he's just batshit crazy.

9:12 PM  
Anonymous troglaman said...

"Silver takes it to the next level in which he dramatically announced to the exact decimal point the chances that Obama has of winning." PJinc

A decimal point!!! What's that?

"'Unskewed' polls show nearly 8-point Romney lead."

"Not a single major poll or approval/disapproval index favors Obama when’s analysis is applied."

"Despite the establishment media narrative that the Romney campaign is behind and in disarray, there are abundant signs the Obama campaign is behind and scrambling not to lose further ground (according to"

"Unskewed Poll Shows BHO is Getting His Butt Kicked. (okay libs, start whining in 3...2...1...)"

Looks like the libtards aren't the only ones with a hard-on for pollsters. What a surprise!

Anyone wish to compare Nate Silver's record as compared to Jerome Corsi's?

As a matter of fact, I didn't see one mention of Silver's record as a pollster. Did you? He's been around for years. It seems to me that if you're going to be holding him up as The Pied Piper of Pollsters, you might want to say something, anything, about what a bullshit pollster he is.

Not a word.

A statistician using a decimal point seems pretty normal to me, the mighty troglaman. Call me crazy.

1:23 AM  
Anonymous The ULTIMATE Man said...

FOAD Troglafuck, you lying racist fucked up fucking fuckwad.

10:19 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

"Call me crazy."

We have, many times.

10:57 AM  
Anonymous Elrond Hubbard said...

Hey, troglaman, when are you going to answer my question?

...and krazy kat's too.

4:56 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Ah, memories, reminiscent of DUmmie 'TruthIsAll' and his never-ending statistical freakshow about the 2004 exit polls, a house of cards built on a foundation of false assumptions...


5:03 PM  
Anonymous troglaman said...

"Hey, troglaman, when are you going to answer my question?...and krazy kat's too." elrond

I think I did, elrond. Or at least tried to. That assumes that we're both talking about the same thing which is undoubtedly a shaky assumption. Wasn't it a few threads ago? Maybe I was so bludgeoned by gravitas of the questions that I simply lost consciousness.

Anyway, the brave and mighty trog would courageously face this punishing mental onslaught again, if you care to remind me of the questions.

2:43 AM  
Blogger Ogrrre said...

"...the brave and mighty trog ..."
buwahahahahahaha! Troglatwat, you should not use those words together in the same phrase or sentence. That's like saying "journalistic integrity" or "political ethics", or even "rap music".
But, thank you for the laugh. Most times you and your weapons grade stoooopid is cringe inducing. This time you were amusing. Just don't give up your day job .. you don't want the rats to take over your Mom's basement, do you?

7:49 AM  
Anonymous troglaman said...

"And now I've got a question for you. Is the current unemployment rate 7.8% or 15%?" elrond

Is this the question you're referring to, elrond?

You're right. I didn't answer it.

I honestly don't know. I've read that it might be even higher than 15%. You'll get no argument from me about this shit.

What will raise my mighty troglamatic ire is what you stupid tube worms are offering as a solution - lower taxes, deregulation and legitimate rape...among other psychotic ruminations.

You have no answers. You just bitch and bitch.

Climate change is about to become a DUmmie problem. Why? Because they haven't come up with a solution. And it just keeps getting worse.

Like the financial crisis, it will become idiotically framed as 'Well what have you done to correct our stupendously moronic mistakes?'

You make THAT the bar - how inept we are to correct your ongoing and astonishing stupidity. That's become your effectively YOUR calamities are corrected.

Know what? Fuck you.

3:40 AM  
Anonymous The ULTIMATE Man said...

FUCK YOU Troglafuck...I hope this election is the equivalent of someone ramming a red hot poker up your ass you lying racist fucked up fucking fuckwad.

FOAD Troglafuck, you lying racist fucked up fucking fuckwad.

1:39 PM  
Anonymous Elrond Hubbard said...

"You have no answers. You just bitch and bitch.

Jesus, look who's talking. I haven't seen anything faintly resembling an answer coming from the mouths of the brainless scumbags currently running the show.

Hey, I know, if they're reelected, they can borrow a few trillion more from the Chinese to spend on non-solutions to problems they cannot comprehend.


2:16 PM  
Anonymous The Phantom Stranger said...

Troglaman continues to show it is a dangerously insane being that should be imprisoned in a maximum security mental health facility and kept heavily guarded and given the maximum possible level of anti-psychotic drugs.

5:08 PM  
Anonymous troglaman said...

"Jesus, look who's talking." (elrond talking about who's responsible for the most bitching)

I would say I, the mighty trog, mock you for the most part. Not that there isn't little bitching going on now and then (especially when she-who-shall-not-be-named takes over).

OK. My turn!

What would you say is THE ONE THING the mittwit has NOT changed his position on?

Answer THAT, bunghole (always end with an insult).

Isn't this fun?

1:18 AM  
Anonymous Jerome Goolsby said...

"What would you say is THE ONE THING the mittwit has NOT changed his position on?

Answer THAT, bunghole (always end with an insult). - The Cowardly Linguini-spined Trog

That your personal god, The Obamassiah, is a lousy excuse for a President, you cowardly reprobate.

12:26 PM  
Anonymous troglaman said...

Silver was right.

Not that it means shit to you dumbfucks.

12:18 AM  
Anonymous Tom Bayes said...

Nate Silver: 50
This blog: 0

2:46 PM  

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